Sunday, April 30, 2006

"This is not a market that is going to collapse,"

Snip...


[Media reports nationwide are warning of a potential real estate collapse, but county and state experts say those reports are not representative of what the facts show.

"This is not a market that is going to collapse," said Jeffrey Otteau, president of the New Jersey-based Otteau Appraisal Group, which did a study comparing this year's real estate trends with last year's and presented it to The New Jersey Homebuilders Association last week. "This is not a time to stop buying. It's a time to negotiate a little tougher and take advantage of (61/2 percent) interest rates that will surely be increasing."

New Jersey's most recent real estate market collapse occurred in 1989 when three factors created a so-called perfect storm, Otteau said. Homes were becoming less affordable, New Jersey builders overdeveloped at a rate of 50,000 new homes per year and the economy slipped, resulting in widespread job loss.]

More...

96 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

Sunday, April 30, 2006 9:49:00 PM  
Blogger lindsey said...

I'm surprised Otteau didn't give a stronger warning.

The signs of big problems are everywhere now, inventory is going through the roof and sales volume through the floor. This correction is about to turn nasty.

Monday, May 01, 2006 10:31:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Otteau said a 1 percent increase in mortgage rates reduces a person's buying power by 8 percent......No, it should reduce the asking price of the house. The market is not strong enough to command these prices any longer.

Monday, May 01, 2006 11:17:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

In order for the market to collaps people "must"have to sell ...layoffs,cannot afford to maintain the house ....people will not sell just to sell or perhaps move up .there will be no price movement untill this occurs

Monday, May 01, 2006 12:25:00 PM  
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Monday, May 01, 2006 1:15:00 PM  
Blogger pesche22 said...

ms. williams,,, have you no shame.

Monday, May 01, 2006 5:26:00 PM  
Blogger chicagofinance said...

HOV misses earnings forecast

Monday, May 01, 2006 6:05:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

We have vacationed on Long Beach Island for years, and real estate prices have reached insanity. Little two bedroom capes fetching $1 million? Reality is about to hit these people, mostly idiots from New York City who think that $1 million for a one bedroom condo is OK, so how about a whole house on the beach?! This market is going to fall 50% from the peak, and the only ones that will be OK are the long time owners. God help the rest of these people.

Monday, May 01, 2006 6:31:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

that sounds more like wishful thinking than reality

Monday, May 01, 2006 7:04:00 PM  
Blogger chicagofinance said...

Anon 7:04:

Anon 6:31 may be a little extreme, but certainly vacation/second home dominated areas are more prone to problems. By definition these properties are a luxury, and are the first things to be cut when someone's is in financial duress.

You shouldn't put a limit to how much downdraft is possible.

Monday, May 01, 2006 8:32:00 PM  
Blogger James Baker said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

Tuesday, May 02, 2006 5:14:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Tell that to the 3800 people at Ameriquest who just got laid off...

http://money.cnn.com/2006/05/02/news/companies/ameriquest/index.htm

credits to Grim at NNJBubble blog...

Tuesday, May 02, 2006 6:21:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I had my house up for sale for 4 months. Not one person came to look at it. Big house completely renovated, corner lot next to protected woods with the bay and a community beach up the street. Not 1 person. Curb Appeal to the max. 4 bed 2 bath sidewalks.Priced right in where everyone else was and then I lowered it by 10k, still no one, 3 weeks later I lowered it another 10k, 8 open houses no one comes. I waited and waited and still same answer no one. I took the house off the market and will wait till everything settles down and things are clearer. I'll probably have to stay another 10 yrs. I waited too long. Should have sold last year.

Saturday, May 06, 2006 10:43:00 PM  
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Tuesday, May 09, 2006 5:22:00 PM  
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Friday, May 12, 2006 8:53:00 AM  
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Wednesday, May 17, 2006 7:23:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

We have noticed that shore properties are not only not moving, but the RENTALS are not moving. If this isn't a sign that the market is starting to crack, I don't know what is.

Wednesday, May 17, 2006 9:46:00 PM  
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Thursday, May 18, 2006 4:00:00 PM  
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Thursday, May 18, 2006 10:42:00 PM  
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Tuesday, May 30, 2006 12:18:00 AM  
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Anonymous Anonymous said...

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Friday, June 09, 2006 10:43:00 PM  
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Thursday, June 15, 2006 8:29:00 PM  
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Tuesday, June 20, 2006 6:16:00 AM  
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Wednesday, June 21, 2006 8:27:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

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Wednesday, June 21, 2006 4:04:00 PM  
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Hint #6 for . Clutter will clog a sale: Display the full value of your space by removing all unnecessary articles. Consider storing things you don't need all the time.

Saturday, June 24, 2006 1:27:00 PM  
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Saturday, June 24, 2006 3:26:00 PM  
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Thursday, June 29, 2006 4:22:00 PM  
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Friday, June 30, 2006 9:53:00 AM  
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Anonymous Anonymous said...

In this "cooling off" real estate market, suggest that the average residence is shown about 4 times a week during the first 3 weeks of a real estate listing. After that, an unsold home goes "stale" ... it gets shown less .

Saturday, July 01, 2006 6:45:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

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Anonymous Anonymous said...

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Thursday, July 06, 2006 1:48:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The average home is currently on the for about 4 months before it goes to contract. Around 15% of initial real estate contracts never make it to a successful closing ... something goes wrong, and the frustrated seller puts the home back on the real estate market .

Thursday, July 06, 2006 1:56:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hint #11 for . You Can Sell Pride Of Ownership. Cleanliness counts. Potpourrie works. So does a nice-smelling stew simmering on the stove. Happy buyers often tell us: "I liked the smell of the home." And you'd be surprised how many people walked away from a "perfect" home because "the owners were smokers."

Friday, July 07, 2006 1:56:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Your blog was fun to visit. Not exactly what I was looking for. But fun. BTW, while the broad brushstrokes of successful marketing remain the same on the cyber battlefield of selling homes today, the rule book has changed. That's what we deal with on our websites. ... .

Friday, July 07, 2006 11:52:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The average home is currently on the for about 4 months before it goes to contract. Around 15% of initial real estate contracts never make it to a successful closing ... something goes wrong, and the frustrated seller puts the home back on the real estate market .

Saturday, July 08, 2006 1:07:00 AM  
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Saturday, July 08, 2006 12:12:00 PM  
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Anonymous Anonymous said...

The No. 1 sellers' complaint on the is the "showing" process ... the line of people trudging through their home, inspecting their lives, in search of who knows what .

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Anonymous Anonymous said...

Someone knows how to bring a lot of into your home, over a single weekend. Opportunity attracts them. Emotion captures them. Competition excites them. Their wallets open. Top dollar for your home pops out in an open bidding process that concludes on a single Sunday afternoon .

Wednesday, July 12, 2006 5:42:00 PM  
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Anonymous Anonymous said...

watch "absorption rates" closely. It's a time-tested yardstick for home sales. Does it prove that the Housing Bubble has already popped? You bet it has.

Thursday, July 13, 2006 12:22:00 PM  
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Thursday, July 13, 2006 12:44:00 PM  
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Go here for more ideas.

Saturday, July 15, 2006 12:56:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The average home is currently on the for about 4 months before it goes to contract. Around 15% of initial real estate contracts never make it to a successful closing ... something goes wrong, and the frustrated seller puts the home back on the real estate market .

Saturday, July 15, 2006 11:59:00 AM  
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Saturday, July 15, 2006 8:15:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

. Silence Is Golden: Be courteous but don't force conversation with a potential buyer. He wants to inspect your house, not pay a social visit.
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Monday, July 17, 2006 11:13:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you're selling your home, consider . Faded walls and worn woodwork reduce a lot more than house appeal. They cut into your price. Invest in a few cans of paint. Brighten up the interior. .

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