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A chronicle of the collapse of the Jersey Shore real estate market, and elsewhere.
I'm more familiar with Monmouth and Northern Ocean County compared to the "Philadelphia" part of the Jersey Shore further south. Here is an update from Wildwood though.
snip...
[Rising interest rates, overvalued real estate and inventory excess has exacerbated the problem.
"The market has died in the last several months," Esher said. "People are afraid of a recession. They're afraid for inflation. The (Federal Reserve) counters by raising interest rates. And sales are down."
Some 2,000 units are for sale, according to Bruce Smith, president of the Greater Wildwood Hotel & Motel Association.]
The force at work is the increasing demand from investment banks for lenders to buy back the loans due to borrowers' failure to make their first few payments on those loans. Such "early payment defaults" so far have largely been limited to nonprime mortgages made to borrowers who pay higher rates than those qualifying for standard loans due to their weak credit or inadequate documentation."]
From today's Asbury Park Press
[For the first time in a decade, home prices in the region that includes the Shore have declined, although the drop in second-quarter prices was slight, the National Association of Realtors reported Tuesday.
The median sales price for an existing home in the region that encompasses Monmouth, Ocean, Somerset and Middlesex counties was $393,600 in the second quarter, down 0.1 percent from $394,100 in the second quarter of 2005, according to the association. The median means that half the homes in the area sold for more and half for less.
It's the first time that the association has seen a percentage decrease since prices in the region fell from $148,600 to $148,500 from 1993 to 1994. They have climbed ever since.
"There is a major housing slowdown," said James W. Hughes, dean of Rutgers University's Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy. "It is surprising that prices have behaved as well as they have."]
This last paragragh is from an article in the Asbury Park Press. I thought the advice from Realtor Diane Turton was classic. No wonder why inventories are so high, when you have Realtors dispensing this kind of advice to try to sell homes.
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[Besides pricing and marketing, presentation also makes a difference.
Cut the yard's grass, mulch the flower beds and paint the house to make it shine.
"You have to make your home stand out," said Diane Turton, owner of Diane Turton, Realtors.
Turton suggests making sure the inside of the home, including the closets, is clean and clutter-free.
"Put an apple pie in the oven. Have fresh flowers in the house as well," Turton said.]
A reader sent this Bloomberg article our way. Teachers, cops and other civil servants are having a hard time affording living in the areas that they work down in Florida. I'm sure the same applies at the Shore. In fact, I bet the huge population growth of Ocean County over the past 10 years or so is because Monmouth County became unaffordable for so many.
Aug. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Beth Ireland gave up after spending a year looking for a $300,000 house in Naples, Florida. She quit her job as a nurse manager and moved to Pittsburgh.
``It's nuts,'' said Ireland, 54, who left in June. ``When all is said and done, we can't afford to live in Naples.''
Naples, on the Gulf of Mexico in southwestern Florida, boasts more than 130 art galleries, posh hotels and private jet service, according to its tourism Web site. Jobs are plentiful -- but home prices average almost $500,000.
Locals call Naples the ``bubble city,'' with home prices that have surged 140 percent since 2001. It's the most overvalued housing market in the country, driven by an influx of retirees and second-home buyers, according to a June report by National City Corp. and Global Insight economists.
Teachers, nurses, paralegals and other middle-income workers are pursuing housing -- and jobs -- elsewhere. That's making it tough for employers, which are giving big raises and housing subsidies and still finding it difficult to hire or keep staff.
The Hamptons real estate market seems to have some similarities with the Jersey Shore market, so its worth pointing out that slows are sale out there too.
Driving around the Shore this area, and reading this article, I think it is becoming apparent that some Realtors and homebuilders have grossly overestimated the number of people that can afford to pay $3 million or more for a home in the greater metropolitan area. I don't doubt that plenty of people can afford expensive homes in NY, NJ, and CT, but I think the number is smaller than most people think. Ocean Avenue in Sea Bright and Monmouth Beach must have about 7 to 10 homes on it that are at least $3 million and they don't seem to be moving very quickly. Spring Lake and Sea Girt also seem to be filled with huge $3 million plus mansions but I don't think that much money exists in our area to absorb all the inventory.
"Aug. 4 (Bloomberg) -- New York's hottest summer spot for investment bankers and movie stars is cooling as mortgage rates climb. In a year of record Wall Street bonuses, home sales in the Hamptons fell 18 percent, signaling the end of a five-year boom.
A total of 1,727 homes were sold during 2006's first half in the Hamptons on the eastern tip of Long Island where billionaire investor Ronald Perelman and movie director Steven Spielberg own summer estates. That's down from 2,106 a year earlier, according to data compiled by Suffolk Research Service Inc., a property records company in Southampton, New York. The drop compares with a 4.3 percent slide nationwide"The comments from the Rutgers Professor are kind of interesting.
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[Despite the improved financial performance, Vaccaro said the bank's net income would have been $733,000, or about 9 cents a share, if it didn't set aside money in case Dwek's loans go into default.
"They're unsecured in nature, and because they are associated with the entire Dwek issue, we thought it was appropriate to take a 25 percent reserve," Vaccaro said.
One expert said the unsecured loans were curious, particularly since Dwek probably had assets that he could have used as collateral. If the loans were secured, the bank, in the event of a default, would be able to recoup at least part of its money by selling the collateral.
"For me, an unsecured loan is a rare animal, especially when you are a developer and you have all these properties you can secure it with," said Paul Nadler, a retired banking professor from Rutgers University.]