I though this was an interesting article from Bloomberg. Manhattan has gotten safe enough over the past ten years that it is not a requirement to move to the suburbs once you become a parent. Additionally, higher bonuses on Wall Street have enabled many families to buy bigger apartments reducing the need to move out of the city to find more living space in Lincroft. It seems like this trend could affect the Monmouth County area real estate market over the long term. If moving to Monmouth County is no longer a requirement to raising a family, then I would think that demand in our area, over the long term, might decrease. On the other hand, know one wants to be stuck in the City in the middle of July on a Saturday, so I wonder if the Shore area would eventually revert back to being a mostly seasonal type destination for New Yorkers and Hobokenite’s, like it was at the turn of the 20th Century through WWII.
Snip...
[``There is a generational shift,'' says Kathleen Gerson, a New York University sociology professor with the Council on Contemporary Families. ``Parents want to blend a child-centered life with an adult-centered life. They see the city as a place to stay rather than to leave.''
Staying Put
The jump in kids under 5 years old is dominated by a 40 percent rise in white children, whose families were once quickest to depart for New Jersey, Connecticut, Westchester County and Long Island.
Manhattan's surging pre-school population is outpacing gains in American cities including Philadelphia and Washington, where the number of kids under five grew 7 percent in the same four years. The increase was 8 percent in Boston, 9 percent in Houston and 24 percent in San Francisco. In all five New York City boroughs, the increase was 16 percent.
Parents say they're staying in part because Manhattan is safer, with the crime rate down 71 percent in 2005 from 1990. Murders in the borough plunged to 25 from 124, and burglaries fell to less than 3,000 from 16,000.]
Full article...